Coalition Wins

Election day is here and it looks like a change of government. If both parties get 50 per cent of the vote the Coalition will win because of the "smell" coming from the removal of Kevin Rudd. It may look like a tie, but Labor will lose two or three marginal seats by a handful of votes due to the Rudd knee-jerk action. Indeed, Julia Gillard will become the shortest reigning Prime Minister in Australia's history. This result will see her rethink her future. Personally, I can't see her staying around after the humiliation.

A loss for Labor will be a new beginning. They will have to look for new, younger leaders. When Wayne Swan takes the helm he will be the last of the old school left. Three years on the outer will see the end of him. No one else stands out with potential leadership qualities. Indeed, the Coalition is in the same boat. If Abbott goes who is to lead?

A new Coalition government has an identity problem. Will it stay on the far right after being pushed there by the "old fogies" of the team, or will it move back to the center? Tony Abbot is definitely on the right. He has the attitude of the present British Government: just balance the books; nothing needs to be done; stuff the poor. It won't be long before Abbott gets on with his pet issue - reorganizing industrial relations. Yes, the unions are in for a hard time as changes are made to workplace laws. Promises in an election are just that - promises.

P.S. Pity the NBN was scrapped. It condemns Australia to being a backwater in the world.

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Young People Are Too Busy for Religion

Tony Abbot is acting like John Howard and is indicating that social engineering is on the cards. Toward the end of John Howard's "reign" he got a little bit carried away with his power and ignored advice from fellow members of his Coalition. He did things without consulting his cabinet. Kevin Rudd got the power bug very early in his time as prime minister. Support from the people soon wanes when they feel they are not being listened to.

Tony Abbot said the young are "dismissive" of the "fundamental views of our society." He aims to remould them in the "proper" way. However, stopping homosexual behavior is really beyond his capability, as is the prevailing sentiment toward religion. Two thirds of teenagers in the UK do not believe in God. It is probably the same in Australia. Julia Gillard does not believe in God. In a survey of Americans, 53 percent said they would not vote for an atheist candidate for President. Voters in Australia now have a clear choice, an atheist versus a Roman Catholic. Maybe because she is the country's first female prime minister she will make it over the line.

It has not been made into an election issue by Tony Abbot, yet. As the election deadline approaches this could change. The debate could become very hot indeed. The Coalition leader has already alienated the younger generation with unplanned remarks, like his opinion on abortion. Some young people have said they find his walking in public in a bathing costume is offensive. It seems they hold some values that are more to the right than Tony Abbot's. They even used the strine phraseology of "budgie smugglers".

Unfortunately, people don't change. Attempts to rehabilitate prisoners have in large part failed in the past. Perhaps Tony Abbot should leave things there - in the past. For most people today practising a religion is not on. They are too busy.

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Abbot Is Naive to Stop Young People Getting the Dole

Tony Abbot's call to send young people to work down the mines is a bit radical for an opposition leader. The "dole bludger" term is very old hat nowadays. With government strengthening of loopholes in getting unemployment benefits it no longer applies.

Abbot says young people do not know what is good for them and they are naive. Working down the mines will not make them less naive. Furthermore, they do know that going underground will not do them any good. Abbots condemnation of them joining environmental movements instead of mainstream political parties is like the cat calling the kettle black. Another "naive" statement from Tony Abbot is the idea of testing young people to see if they are "mature" enough to receive unemployment benefit.

Though Tony Abbot believes that depriving the young of unemployment benefit will make them move to the remote bush of Western Australia, this is a childish, simplistic dream. Recruitment officer Kevin Wealand says mining companies need skilled workers. They don't want labourers. Abbot says this will be Liberal Party policy. Ultimately this attempt at social engineering will not work. Mine owners and union leaders are cringing at the thought of having unskilled workers operating dangerous mining machines. Queensland Resources Council director Michael Roche says Tony Abbot is misguided - he is completely off the track.

Putting it bluntly, Tony Abbot comes across as a twerp. Does he sleep with that bike? Where have all the real leaders like Malcom Turnbull and Peter Costello gone? The Coalition needs to get a decent leader to be a contender for Prime Minister.

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