Tampilkan postingan dengan label Tony. Tampilkan semua postingan
Tampilkan postingan dengan label Tony. Tampilkan semua postingan

Kamis, 23 September 2010

Tony Abbott Will Not Hurt Labor

Ferocity won't win anything. We now have a conciliatory government. Despite hopes by Tony Abbott to end the governing coalition, this shall not happen. Withdrawing from a legally drawn up agreement to pair speaker and deputy speaker votes shows he is an opportunist. When he thought he would gain government with support of the independents he was all for the agreement. Now he hopes to derail the Government at its first step. If one of the governing independents votes with the opposition on an issue that particular legislation will not get through. That is all it means. Julia Gillard has already given warning that some things will not pass.

A loss by one vote is the same as a loss by fifty votes. During the last government the Opposition with the help of the Greens knocked back the Emissions Trading Scheme. The Government didn't change however. Now the Greens want an EMS at the first opportunity. It's no wonder when they realized how silly it was to end the first scheme. Any scheme is better than none.

The bets are on that Tony Abbott will lose his cool during the first term of government when things do not go his way. How he has held himself together so far is a miracle. He is bound to insult the independents with a personal remark. The independents have a point to prove - this government is theirs and they know it. Tony Abbott will not gain much by insulting Labor parliamentarians. They do not have the real power. With all the compromises Labor will make this will disarm the Opposition. In reality it must attack the independents. This is the only hope of bringing the Government down. The independents will not want this to happen, at just about any cost. They have already thrown away the electorate support they had from nominal Opposition voters.

Tony Abbott will follow in Peter Costello's footsteps and be a prime ministerial contender who could not make the final step. It will be a long time before the next election. With the ongoing frustration other Opposition members could spit the dummy as well. Christopher Pyne was ranting with enjoyment when the Debate was turned down. He was notably drawn and quiet when the election result became clear. And the lady who put the knife in Malcolm Turnbull's back is still there spinning her web - nasty as ever. When Tony Abbot was first made leader and jokes were made in the House about his flirtations with Julia Gillard she did mouth something quite objectionable.

The real mystery is will mister nice guy Joe Hockey ever by prime minister. Now there is someone every mother would like as a son, and probably vote for.
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Rabu, 08 September 2010

We Have the Government We Deserve

Well we have a government. There could be shaky times ahead but it seems the independents did the rational thing. Supporting the coalition would have given them only a one vote working majority. It was assumed all three independents would go one way. With the two independents Labor has two votes in hand under the new agreed system with Bob Katter voting against the government. Bob Katter is a real National Party person - no ifs no buts. He would have known what the others were going to do. For all his talking his electorate got nothing. He obviously knew which way he would fall all along. It was all show.

Ironically, the Coalition has given Labor an extra vote by having a member of the opposition as deputy speaker with no voting power. Tony Abbott was not thinking clearly when he made that decision. Not giving in to this could have swung the two independents the other way. The Western Australian National must have had an effect. He said he would not block supply for the Coalition. His decision to sit on the cross bench gave the impression that he was not fully supportive though.

After the treasury analysed the Coalition election promises, throwing more money at the independents had no effect. A brand new hospital was clearly far too much for the Tasmanian representative. It seems Tony Abbott had lost credibility. His behavior in the election came back to haunt him. Something fishy was about when his promises were not costed initially.

The real "swinger" was the National Broadband Network. If the Coalition had just said it would review the NBN it would have won office without this fiasco. You can sometimes be too stubborn for your own good. Many have said if labor had not brought the mining tax in the coalition would have done so. It was like the GST - a Labor idea adopted by the coalition. Pity Tony Abbott was not more like John Howard who saw some good in Labor concepts.
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Kamis, 19 Agustus 2010

Coalition Wins

Election day is here and it looks like a change of government. If both parties get 50 per cent of the vote the Coalition will win because of the "smell" coming from the removal of Kevin Rudd. It may look like a tie, but Labor will lose two or three marginal seats by a handful of votes due to the Rudd knee-jerk action. Indeed, Julia Gillard will become the shortest reigning Prime Minister in Australia's history. This result will see her rethink her future. Personally, I can't see her staying around after the humiliation.

A loss for Labor will be a new beginning. They will have to look for new, younger leaders. When Wayne Swan takes the helm he will be the last of the old school left. Three years on the outer will see the end of him. No one else stands out with potential leadership qualities. Indeed, the Coalition is in the same boat. If Abbott goes who is to lead?

A new Coalition government has an identity problem. Will it stay on the far right after being pushed there by the "old fogies" of the team, or will it move back to the center? Tony Abbot is definitely on the right. He has the attitude of the present British Government: just balance the books; nothing needs to be done; stuff the poor. It won't be long before Abbott gets on with his pet issue - reorganizing industrial relations. Yes, the unions are in for a hard time as changes are made to workplace laws. Promises in an election are just that - promises.

P.S. Pity the NBN was scrapped. It condemns Australia to being a backwater in the world.
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Senin, 19 Juli 2010

Young People Are Too Busy for Religion

Tony Abbot is acting like John Howard and is indicating that social engineering is on the cards. Toward the end of John Howard's "reign" he got a little bit carried away with his power and ignored advice from fellow members of his Coalition. He did things without consulting his cabinet. Kevin Rudd got the power bug very early in his time as prime minister. Support from the people soon wanes when they feel they are not being listened to.

Tony Abbot said the young are "dismissive" of the "fundamental views of our society." He aims to remould them in the "proper" way. However, stopping homosexual behavior is really beyond his capability, as is the prevailing sentiment toward religion. Two thirds of teenagers in the UK do not believe in God. It is probably the same in Australia. Julia Gillard does not believe in God. In a survey of Americans, 53 percent said they would not vote for an atheist candidate for President. Voters in Australia now have a clear choice, an atheist versus a Roman Catholic. Maybe because she is the country's first female prime minister she will make it over the line.

It has not been made into an election issue by Tony Abbot, yet. As the election deadline approaches this could change. The debate could become very hot indeed. The Coalition leader has already alienated the younger generation with unplanned remarks, like his opinion on abortion. Some young people have said they find his walking in public in a bathing costume is offensive. It seems they hold some values that are more to the right than Tony Abbot's. They even used the strine phraseology of "budgie smugglers".

Unfortunately, people don't change. Attempts to rehabilitate prisoners have in large part failed in the past. Perhaps Tony Abbot should leave things there - in the past. For most people today practising a religion is not on. They are too busy.
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